Physics AI™ Powered Environmental Intelligence
Earthflow3D Development Roadmap
& Key Requirements
3D Digital Twin for Solar + Storage O&M — From Demo to Real-Site Pilot
Version 1.0
March 2026
e.g. 150 MW Solar
e.g. 100 MW / 400 MWh BESS
40+ Metrics

Platform Demo

Executive Summary

4
Asset Classes Monitored
6
Inspector Tabs per Asset
48h
Live Telemetry Window
24h
Generation Forecast
LMP
Dispatch Optimization
P90
Fleet Failure Scoring

Earthflow3D is a browser-based 3D digital twin demonstrating real-time operations intelligence for utility-scale solar + storage. This document catalogs all implemented features, maps each to real-world data sources, benchmarks against market leaders, and identifies the development gaps to close for a full pilot on a B&V-constructed site.

The O&M Opportunity

The global solar O&M market reached $14.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at 8.4% CAGR to $32.6 billion by 2034 (Precedence Research). In the U.S. alone, with 221 GW of installed solar capacity and 246 GW projected through 2030, the addressable O&M services market will exceed $10 billion by 2034. Yet the market remains dominated by monolithic SaaS platforms (Stem/AlsoEnergy, Power Factors, GreenPowerMonitor) that require 6+ months to implement and offer no AI-driven intelligence, no environmental compliance, and no full-lifecycle coverage.

The B&V Business Case identifies a $135M+ 10-year revenue opportunity by combining B&V’s 100+ GW installed base and utility relationships with Earthflow’s Physics AI platform. B&V’s EPC contracts guarantee SCADA/DAS data handoff at COD — eliminating the single largest barrier to O&M platform adoption.

The Gap Analysis

When we benchmarked Earthflow against the top 5 O&M platforms, we identified five critical feature gaps: day-ahead generation forecasting, BESS dispatch optimization, energy loss waterfall analysis, fleet-wide failure probability scoring, and soiling ROI economics. All five gaps have now been closed in the Earthflow3D demo. What remains is the transition from simulated data to live site data — a 3-6 month API integration and AI training exercise detailed in Chapter 8.

Key thesis: The gap from demo to production is an API integration exercise, not a fundamental research problem. Every metric displayed in Earthflow3D maps to available real-world data sources that are standard at commercial operation date (COD).

Chapter 1: Platform Overview Chapter 2: Digital Twin Asset Health Monitoring Chapter 3: Operations Intelligence Suite Chapter 4: Site Performance & Real-Time Monitoring Chapter 5: O&M Alerts & Work Order Management Chapter 6: Competitive Benchmarking Chapter 7: Data Sources & Integration Path Chapter 8: Development Gap Analysis — Demo to Pilot Chapter 9: Pilot Site Requirements Chapter 10: Conclusion & Next Steps

1. Platform Overview

What is Earthflow3D?

Earthflow3D is a browser-based 3D digital twin delivered as a single-file web application hosted on Firebase. It renders a photorealistic globe with real terrain, then overlays a fully interactive utility-scale solar + storage plant where every asset is clickable, inspectable, and monitored in real time.

Unlike traditional 2D SCADA dashboards, Earthflow3D provides spatial context — operators see where a degraded panel block sits relative to the substation, which inverter feeds which bus, and how the BESS units are positioned within the plant boundary. This spatial awareness accelerates fault isolation and maintenance planning.

Demo Site Configuration

Table 1: Demo Site Configuration
Asset ClassQuantitySpecificationInspector Tabs
Panel Blocks16~9.4 MW DC each, mono-Si bifacial, single-axis trackerOverview, Performance, Health, Alerts, Work Orders, Inspection
Inverters530 MW AC each (SMA / TMEIC class)Overview, Performance, Health, NERC CIP, Alerts, Work Orders
Substation1150 MVA, 34.5 kV → 230 kV step-upOverview, Performance, Health, DGA, Alerts, Work Orders
BESS Units250 MW / 200 MWh LFP each (100 MW / 400 MWh total)Overview, Performance, Health, Dispatch, Alerts, Work Orders

User Experience

Fully Configurable Site Architecture

The demo showcases a 150 MW solar + 100 MW / 400 MWh BESS layout, but the Earthflow3D platform is fully configurable to any utility-scale site. The number of panel blocks, inverter count and capacity, substation configuration, BESS sizing, and plant boundary are all parameterized — not hardcoded. Any site layout can be modeled by providing the configuration data below.

Asset interconnections — which panel blocks feed which inverters, which inverters connect to which MV bus, and how the substation ties into the transmission grid — are defined via a site configuration that maps the electrical single-line diagram to 3D positions. This allows operators to trace fault propagation spatially: click a tripped inverter and see exactly which panel blocks are affected.

Configuration Data Required to Model a Site in 3D
Data RequiredSourcePurpose
Electrical single-line diagramEPC / OwnerAsset interconnections (panel → inverter → MV bus → substation → grid)
Site layout / plot plan (CAD/GIS)EPC civil drawings3D asset positioning, plant boundary, access roads, drainage
Equipment specificationsOEM datasheetsAsset dimensions, capacity ratings, model-specific parameters
GPS coordinates per assetAs-built survey or DAS configPrecise geolocation of each panel block, inverter pad, substation, BESS container
Tracker row geometryEPC / tracker OEM (NEXTracker, Array Technologies)Row pitch, azimuth, ground coverage ratio (GCR) for panel block positioning
BESS container layoutBESS OEM / EPC (Fluence, Tesla, BYD)Container positions, AC/DC coupling topology, thermal setback zones
EPC handoff standard: All of the above data is produced during the engineering and construction phase and is routinely handed over at COD as part of the as-built documentation package. With B&V as the EPC partner, this configuration data is available from day one.

Augmenting with 3D Point Cloud & Drone Data

For higher-fidelity digital twins, the site geometry can be augmented with 3D point cloud data from LiDAR scans or photogrammetric drone surveys. Point clouds provide exact as-built geometry that goes beyond what CAD drawings capture: actual panel tilt angles, rack heights, cable tray routing, terrain contours, and vegetation clearance zones.

Drone-captured orthomosaics and thermal imagery — from providers like Skydio and Veerum — can be overlaid directly onto the 3D model, enabling visual inspection and thermal anomaly detection without dispatching personnel to the field. Combined with Earthflow’s satellite-based detection capabilities (Earthflow Detect), this creates a multi-resolution inspection pipeline from orbit to ground level.

3D Data Augmentation Sources
Data TypeCapture MethodResolutionUse Case
LiDAR point cloudAerial LiDAR or terrestrial scanner (Skydio, Veerum)1–5 cmPrecise terrain model, rack geometry, vegetation encroachment measurement
Photogrammetric meshDrone survey (Skydio, Veerum)2–10 cmPhotorealistic 3D model, visual condition assessment
Thermal orthomosaicDrone with IR camera (Skydio, Veerum)5–15 cmHotspot detection, string-level fault identification
RGB orthomosaicDrone survey (Skydio, Veerum)1–5 cmVisual overlay on 3D terrain, soiling assessment, vegetation mapping
Beyond SCADA dashboards. By combining real-time telemetry with photorealistic site geometry, 3D point clouds, and drone imagery, Earthflow3D delivers true spatial O&M intelligence — operators don’t just see numbers, they see the physical plant and can navigate to any anomaly in 3D.

2. Digital Twin Asset Health Monitoring

Earthflow3D monitors 4 asset classes with a total of 40+ metrics. Each asset type has a dedicated multi-tab inspector showing real-time values, historical trends, and predictive analytics. Data ingestion frequencies are fully configurable based on what is available from the site’s SCADA, BMS, DAS, and sensor infrastructure — from sub-second streaming for critical alarms, to 15-minute intervals for standard telemetry, to daily or monthly cadences for trending and predictive models. The update rates shown below represent typical configurations; actual frequencies depend on the data source and site-specific availability. The goal is to build asset health models and condition indicators that surface degradation trends, anomalies, and failure risks before they escalate into unplanned downtime or costly repairs — shifting O&M from reactive to predictive.

Panel Blocks (16 Units)

Table 3: Panel Block Metrics (16 Units)
MetricUnitsUpdate RateCategory
Performance Ratio%15 minPerformance
Degradation Rate%/yearMonthlyHealth
Soiling Loss%15 minPerformance
Erosion Risk Score0-100DailyEnvironmental
NDVI (Vegetation Index)0-1WeeklyEnvironmental
Availability%15 minPerformance
Alarm Level0-3Real-timeAlerts
String Currents (24 strings)A15 minPerformance
Specific YieldkWh/kWpDailyPerformance
Capacity Factor%15 minPerformance
Curtailment LossMWh15 minRevenue
Temperature Loss%15 minPerformance
Clipping LossMWh15 minRevenue
Irradiance (GHI/POA)W/m²15 minWeather
12-Month Degradation TrendSparklineMonthlyHealth
Failure Probability (P30/P60/P90)%DailyPredictive

Inverters (5 Units)

Table 4: Inverter Metrics (5 Units)
MetricUnitsUpdate RateCategory
AC Power OutputMW15 minPerformance
Conversion Efficiency%15 minPerformance
Internal Temperature°C15 minHealth
StatusOnline/Fault/OfflineReal-timeOperations
Firmware VersionStringStaticNERC CIP
NERC CIP ComplianceStatusAudit cycleCybersecurity
Efficiency Curve (load vs %)Sparkline15 minPerformance
DC Input VoltageV15 minPerformance
Grid FrequencyHz15 minGrid
Total Harmonic Distortion (THD)%15 minPower Quality
IGBT Junction Temperature°C15 minComponent Health
Fan SpeedRPM15 minCooling
Capacitor ESRDailyComponent Health
Power Derating%15 minPerformance
Fault Count (lifetime)#DailyReliability
IGBT Degradation Trend (12mo)SparklineMonthlyPredictive
Remaining Useful Life (RUL)YearsMonthlyPredictive
Failure Probability (P30/P60/P90)%DailyPredictive

Substation (1 Unit)

Table 5: Substation Metrics
MetricUnitsUpdate RateCategory
Transformer CapacityMVAStaticConfig
High-Side VoltagekV15 minPerformance
Grid Connection StatusStatusReal-timeOperations
Load Factor%15 minPerformance
Revenue Meter ReadingMWh15 minRevenue
Oil Temperature°C15 minHealth
Winding Hotspot Temperature°C15 minHealth
DGA StatusNormal/Warning/AlarmContinuousHealth
Bushing Power Factor%MonthlyHealth
Breaker Operations Count#EventReliability
Cooling Fan StatusOn/Off/FaultReal-timeCooling
DGA Gas Trending (H&sub2;, CH&sub4;, C&sub2;H&sub2;, CO)ppm, 12mo sparklineMonthlyPredictive
Failure Probability (P30/P60/P90)%DailyPredictive

BESS (2 × 50 MW / 200 MWh)

Table 6: BESS Metrics (2 × 50 MW / 200 MWh)
MetricUnitsUpdate RateCategory
State of Charge (SoC)% (TOU arbitrage pattern)15 minPerformance
Power (charge/discharge)MW (+/−)15 minDispatch
Cell Temperature°C15 minHealth
State of Health (SoH)%DailyHealth
Cycle Count (lifetime)#DailyHealth
Round-Trip Efficiency (RTE)%DailyPerformance
Cell Voltage SpreadmV15 minHealth
Coolant Flow RateL/min15 minCooling
DC Bus VoltageV15 minPerformance
Insulation ResistanceDailySafety
Capacity Fade Curve (36mo)% SoH, sparklineMonthlyPredictive
Failure Probability (P30/P60/P90)%DailyPredictive
Augmentation Status & TimelineDate / %MonthlyPlanning
Remaining Useful Life (RUL)YearsMonthlyPredictive
40+ unique metrics across 4 asset classes, each with historical trending, real-time sparklines, and predictive failure probabilities. This exceeds the metric density of most commercial SCADA/monitoring platforms.

3. Operations Intelligence Suite

Beyond asset monitoring, Earthflow3D includes four advanced operations intelligence modules that transform raw telemetry into actionable revenue and maintenance decisions. Each module is fully configurable to the site’s specific market, equipment, and operational context — the ISO node and pricing zone, forecast provider, loss model parameters, alert thresholds, and maintenance cost assumptions are all adjustable per site. This ensures the intelligence layer adapts to any utility-scale plant, whether it operates in CAISO, ERCOT, PJM, or any other ISO market.

Dispatch Command Center

Real-time BESS dispatch optimization driven by ISO locational marginal pricing (LMP).

Table 7: Dispatch Command Center Features
FeatureDescription
LMP Price Curve24-hour CAISO SP15 locational marginal price (96 data points at 15-min intervals), rendered as interactive sparkline with peak/trough annotations
Optimal Dispatch ScheduleVisual schedule strip showing charge (green), discharge (amber), and idle periods. Algorithm charges during solar trough & low LMP, discharges during evening peak & high LMP
Revenue StackingBreakdown of daily BESS revenue across 3 streams: energy arbitrage, capacity payments, and frequency regulation. Card-based display with per-stream values
Optimization SavingsSide-by-side comparison of optimized dispatch vs naive TOU strategy. Demonstrated savings: +38-64% vs naive
Curtailment RiskProactive curtailment probability indicator based on generation forecast vs grid absorption capacity

Generation Forecast

24-hour ahead generation forecast with confidence bands, weather correlation, and ramp event detection.

Table 8: Generation Forecast Features
FeatureDescription
Confidence Band SparklineForecast center line with upper/lower bounds (±8-15%). Actual generation overlay in green when available. SVG band rendering via custom bandSparkline()
Weather CardsGHI (W/m²), cloud cover (%), wind speed (m/s), ambient temperature (°C) — key forecast input drivers
Ramp Event AlertsDetects rapid generation changes (>20% in 30 min) from cloud transients. Badge shows timing and severity
Forecast AccuracyMAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) and bias tracking. Target: <8% MAPE for day-ahead
Actual vs ForecastWhen live data is available, actual generation is overlaid on forecast for real-time accuracy monitoring

Performance Optimization

Energy loss analysis, clipping quantification, soiling economics, and underperformer identification.

Table 9: Performance Optimization Features
FeatureDescription
Energy Loss WaterfallNameplate capacity → net output through 5 loss stages: temperature, soiling, clipping, degradation, and downtime. Horizontal bar chart with cumulative loss visualization
Clipping Loss Tracker24-hour clipping profile (DC generation vs AC inverter limit) with daily revenue impact in $/day
Soiling ROI CalculatorComputes cleaning payback period (days) based on soiling loss rate, daily MWh output, PPA price, and cleaning cost. Shows break-even date and annual ROI
Worst PerformersTable of lowest-performing panel blocks ranked by performance ratio, with root cause classification (soiling, shade, degradation, tracker fault)

Fleet Health Dashboard

Aggregate health scoring and predictive maintenance intelligence across all asset classes.

Table 10: Fleet Health Dashboard Features
FeatureDescription
Fleet Health BarAlways-visible bar in the Active Site panel showing aggregate health scores for Panels, Inverters, BESS, and Substation (0-100 scale, color-coded)
Failure Probability GaugesP30 / P60 / P90 failure probability for every asset. Drives predictive maintenance scheduling — schedule repairs before P60 exceedance
Degradation Trending12-month degradation curves for panels, inverters (IGBT), BESS (capacity fade), and substation (DGA gases). Sparkline rendering with trend extrapolation
Maintenance RecommendationsAuto-generated action items with ROI: "Clean panels — 4.2 day payback", "Schedule IGBT replacement — RUL 2.1 years", "DGA retest — H&sub2; trending up"
Operations Intelligence = Revenue Optimization. The Dispatch Command Center alone demonstrates +38-64% BESS revenue improvement over naive TOU strategies. Combined with loss waterfall analysis and soiling ROI, these tools directly drive bottom-line O&M decisions.

4. Site Performance & Real-Time Monitoring

Site Overview Drawer

The Site Performance drawer provides a multi-tab view of the entire plant’s operational status, accessible via a persistent toggle in the bottom toolbar.

Three Operating Modes

Table 11: Site Overview Tabs
TabContentData Window
LiveGeneration, Grid Export, Availability, Revenue, BESS SoC, Net Dispatch — all as 48-hour sparklines192 data points (15-min intervals)
Forecast24h generation forecast with confidence bands, weather cards, ramp alerts, forecast accuracy metrics (MAPE, bias)96 forecast points + actuals overlay
OptimizeEnergy loss waterfall, clipping sparkline, soiling ROI calculator, worst-performing blocks table24h clipping + cumulative losses

Active Site Panel

The left-side Active Site panel provides at-a-glance site status:

Telemetry Architecture

48-hour window, 15-minute resolution, 5-second refresh. All sparklines display 192 data points covering a rolling 48-hour window. The live simulation auto-refreshes every 5 seconds, shifting the window forward and appending new values. Sparkline hover tooltips show exact time + value at each data point.

5. O&M Alerts & Work Order Management

Active Alerts (6 Demo Alerts)

Table 12: Active Alerts
AlertAssetSeverityType
Communication LossINV-03CriticalConnectivity
Accelerated DegradationBlock C-02WarningPerformance
Tracker Stow FaultTracker D-04WarningMechanical
NERC CIP Audit DueSubstationInfoCompliance
Cell Voltage ImbalanceBESS-BWarningBattery Health
Vegetation EncroachmentBlock A-04InfoEnvironmental

Work Orders (5 Demo Work Orders)

Table 13: Work Orders
Work OrderTypePriorityStatusAsset
INV-03 Communication RestoreCorrectiveUrgentAssignedINV-03
Block C-02 IV Curve TestPredictiveHighScheduledBlock C-02
Q1 Panel Cleaning (South Zone)PreventiveMediumIn ProgressBlocks A-01 to A-08
Annual Thermal InspectionInspectionMediumPlannedAll Panels
BESS-A Coolant System CheckPreventiveHighScheduledBESS-A

Key Capabilities

6. Competitive Benchmarking

The solar O&M monitoring market is dominated by 5 established players. Earthflow3D’s feature set was designed to match or exceed these platforms while introducing capabilities none of them offer.

Feature Comparison — Earthflow3D vs Market Leaders
Feature Earthflow3D Stem / AlsoEnergy
32.5 GW
Power Factors
25 GW
Raptor Maps GreenPowerMonitor
20 GW
3D Digital Twin
Generation Forecast
+ confidence bands
BESS Dispatch Optimization
LMP-based

Athena
Loss Waterfall
Fleet Failure Probability
P30/P60/P90
Soiling ROI Calculator
DGA Gas Trending
4-gas 12mo
BESS Capacity Fade
36mo curve
Physics-Informed AIUnique
Agentic AI (Cirra)Unique
Environmental IntelligenceUnique
NERC CIP Cybersecurity
with B&V
Full Lifecycle (Dev → Ops)Unique

Competitive Positioning Matrix

Figure 1: Competitive Positioning — Solar O&M Digital Platforms
NICHE PLAYERS LEADERS EMERGING CHALLENGERS Technology & AI Capabilities → Market Presence & Scale → Low Medium High Low Med High Stem / AlsoEnergy 32.5 GW Power Factors 25 GW GreenPowerMonitor (DNV) 20 GW Raptor Maps meteocontrol 15 GW Earthflow3D B&V + Earthflow B&V Accelerant
Key differentiator: Every competitor is monolithic SaaS requiring 6+ months to implement and $50-200K/year in licensing. Earthflow is agentic — value in days, not months. No other platform combines Physics AI + environmental intelligence + 3D digital twin + LMP dispatch optimization + full development-to-operations lifecycle coverage. With B&V’s 100+ GW installed base providing market presence, the partnership moves directly into the Leaders quadrant.

Competitive Moats

7. Data Sources & Integration Path

Every metric displayed in Earthflow3D maps to a real-world data source that is available at COD (commercial operation date). The table below shows the complete mapping.

Demo Feature → Real-World Data Source Mapping
FeatureReal Data SourceAccess MethodOwnerEst. CostEarthflow Physics AI
LMP PricingCAISO OASIS / ERCOT / PJMConfigurable — Public REST APIPublicPublic API
Queue Pressure Score (QPS) already in Earthflow
Generation ForecastSolcast, SolarAnywhere, or Earthflow Physics AIConfigurable — Commercial API or Earthflow irradiance-to-yield model3rd Party / Earthflow$0–$8K/yr/site
Irradiance → yield model, confidence bands
Weather DataSite instrumentation, sensor packages, Tomorrow.io, OpenWeatherMap, NRELConfigurable — Site sensors, API (already in Cirra)Owner / 3rd PartySite sensors or $0–$5K/yr API
3-source weather engine in Cirra
Panel SCADAString monitors (SMA, SolarEdge, Tigo)Configurable — DAS API or ModbusOwner via DASIncluded at COD
Inverter TelemetryOEM SCADA (SMA, TMEIC, Power Electronics)Configurable — Modbus registersOwner at CODIncluded at COD
BESS Cell DataBMS (Fluence, Tesla, BYD, CATL)Configurable — BMS cloud APIOwner via OEMIncluded at COD
Substation DGAOnline DGA (Qualitrol, Vaisala) or labConfigurable — API or PDF parseOwner$5-15K/yr
Soiling DataSoiling stations (Kipp & Zonen) or satelliteConfigurable — IoT sensor or APIOwner$2-5K/yr
Clipping LossCalculated: DC power − AC powerConfigurable — Math on existing SCADADerivedDerived from SCADA
Work OrdersCMMS (Maximo, SAP PM, eMaint, Fiix)Configurable — REST API or CSVO&M ProviderExisting license
Revenue MeterFiscal meter + DASConfigurable — SCADA exportOwnerIncluded at COD
Curtailment SignalsISO curtailment signals + SCADAConfigurable — ISO API + SCADAPublic + OwnerPublic API
NDVI / VegetationSentinel-2, Planet Labs, drone imageryConfigurable — Satellite API or uploadPublic / 3rd PartyPublic or $0–$3K/yr
NDVI, vegetation classification, RUSLE erosion, species ID
Fire RiskUSGS, NIFC, NASA FIRMSConfigurable — REST API (already in Cirra)PublicPublic API
Physics-based fire risk model
Grid Interconnection QueuePJM, MISO, CAISO, SPP, ERCOTConfigurable — REST API (already in Earthflow)Public / ISOsPublic API
QPS scoring, 50K+ projects tracked
Satellite DetectionMapbox, Sentinel-2, Google Earth EngineConfigurable — Satellite API (already in Earthflow)Public / 3rd PartyPublic or $0–$2K/yr
Earthflow Detect: GeoAI, U-Net, YOLO, Gemini
Erosion RiskUSLE/RUSLE soil & slope data, NRCSConfigurable — REST API (already in Cirra)PublicPublic API
RUSLE-based erosion model
Site AssessmentMulti-source: geospatial, environmental, grid, weatherConfigurable — Aggregated via Cirra agentEarthflowIncluded
25-tool agentic AI assessment
Construction ForecastWeather + activity models (6 activities)Configurable — Physics AI modelEarthflowIncluded
6-activity weather impact model
Development CostNREL ATB, regional multipliers, site conditionsConfigurable — Physics AI modelEarthflowIncluded
Parametric cost estimator
PDF Report GenerationAll Earthflow data sourcesConfigurable — Automated via Cirra agentEarthflowIncluded
4 report types, branded PDFs
EPC handoff is the key enabler. Standard EPC contracts require the constructor to hand over all SCADA/DAS credentials, met station data, and BMS access at COD. With B&V as the EPC partner, this handoff is contractually guaranteed. The transition from simulated → live is an API integration exercise, not a data availability problem.

Already Built in Earthflow

Several data integrations are already operational in the broader Earthflow platform (used by Cirra AI agent):

8. Development Gap Analysis — Demo to Pilot

The Earthflow3D demo demonstrates all critical O&M intelligence features with simulated data. Transitioning to a real-site pilot requires four development phases focused on API integration, real-time pipelines, predictive models, and dispatch optimization. The estimated total pilot investment is ~$350K across all phases — approximately 0.3% of the $135M 10-year revenue opportunity identified in the B&V Business Case. Target: Q2 2026 pilot on a B&V-constructed utility-scale solar + storage plant.

Phase 1 — API Integration (Week 1–4)

Phase 1 Tasks
TaskDemo StatusPilot RequirementPriority
SCADA AdapterSimulatedConnect to DAS provider API (AlsoEnergy / SMA / meteocontrol)P0
Weather APIBuiltAlready operational in Cirra (Tomorrow.io + OpenWeatherMap + NREL)Done
LMP PricingSimulatedCAISO OASIS REST API (free, public, well-documented)P0
Generation ForecastSimulatedSolcast API integrationP1

Phase 2 — Real-Time Pipeline (Week 4–10)

Phase 2 Tasks
TaskDemo StatusPilot RequirementPriority
Data Ingestion ServiceSimulated15-min interval polling from SCADA → FirestoreP0
Historical BackfillSimulated12-month data migration for degradation trendingP0
Alert EngineSimulatedReal alert thresholds from SCADA values (not demo alerts)P1
CMMS IntegrationSimulatedBi-directional sync with Maximo / SAP PMP1

Phase 3 — Predictive AI Models (Week 8–18)

Phase 3 Tasks
TaskDemo StatusPilot RequirementPriority
Panel Degradation ModelsSimulatedTrain on actual IV curves + performance dataP1
DGA AnalysisSimulatedDuval triangle classification from lab reports or online DGAP1
BESS Capacity FadeSimulatedBMS data → SoH trending with augmentation timelineP1
Failure Probability (AI)SimulatedAI models trained on maintenance history + sensor dataP2

Phase 4 — Dispatch Optimization (Week 12–20)

Phase 4 Tasks
TaskDemo StatusPilot RequirementPriority
Real LMP IntegrationSimulatedLive CAISO / ERCOT / PJM pricing feedsP0
BESS Dispatch EngineSimulatedOptimal charge/discharge scheduling from price signalsP0
Revenue StackingSimulatedArbitrage + capacity + ancillary services revenue trackingP1
Curtailment AvoidanceSimulatedGrid signal integration for proactive dispatchP2
~20 weeks from data access to full operational digital twin. Phases overlap (3 & 4 run in parallel with Phase 2 completion), compressing the overall timeline. With B&V providing immediate data access at COD, the critical path is SCADA adapter development + historical backfill.

9. Pilot Site Requirements

The ideal pilot site should be a recently-constructed or Year 1 operating B&V solar + storage project with modern DAS and BMS infrastructure.

Minimum Pilot Site Specifications
RequirementIdeal SpecificationMinimum Acceptable
Solar Capacity100-200 MW DC50 MW DC
BESS Capacity50-100 MW / 200-400 MWh25 MW / 100 MWh
SCADA / DASAlsoEnergy, meteocontrol, or SMA Data Manager with REST APIAny DAS with API or Modbus export
BMSFluence, Tesla Megapack, or BYD with cloud APIAny BMS with data export
Substation MonitoringOnline DGA monitor (Qualitrol, Vaisala)Quarterly lab DGA reports
Meteorological StationOn-site pyranometer + anemometer + thermometer + soiling stationPyranometer + temp sensor
CMMSMaximo, SAP PM, eMaint, or Fiix with REST APIAny CMMS with CSV export
NetworkFiber backhaul from site to cloudCellular (4G/5G) backhaul
ISO MarketCAISO (SP15, NP15) or ERCOTAny US ISO with public LMP data
Data AccessEPC handoff of all SCADA credentials + BMS access at CODOwner-provided read-only API keys

Timeline

Table 14: Pilot Timeline
MilestoneTimelineDeliverable
Pilot site selectionQ2 2026Signed data access agreement
SCADA + LMP integrationWeek 1–4Live telemetry flowing to Earthflow3D
Historical backfillWeek 4–812-month trending and degradation curves
Alert engine + CMMSWeek 8–12Real alerts and bi-directional work orders
Predictive AI modelsWeek 10–18Failure probability, DGA analysis, capacity fade
Dispatch optimizationWeek 14–20Live LMP dispatch, revenue stacking, curtailment avoidance
Full pilot operationalWeek 20Complete O&M digital twin with real data
B&V advantage: With 100+ GW of installed solar capacity and ongoing EPC contracts, B&V has direct access to pilot sites at various stages — from COD to Year 5+ operating assets. The EPC contract guarantees data handoff, eliminating the single largest barrier to O&M platform adoption.

10. Conclusion & Next Steps

Earthflow3D demonstrates a market-competitive suite of O&M intelligence features today. The demo includes capabilities that match or exceed every major competitor in the solar monitoring space, while introducing three features no competitor offers: Physics-Informed AI, Agentic AI (Cirra), and full development-to-operations lifecycle coverage.

Key Findings

Recommended Next Steps

Table 15: Recommended Next Steps
#ActionOwnerTarget
1Select pilot site from B&V portfolio (COD or Year 1 asset, solar + BESS)B&V / OrbyfyQ2 2026
2Execute data access agreement — SCADA, BMS, met station, CMMSB&V LegalQ2 2026
3Begin Phase 1 API integration (SCADA adapter + LMP pricing)Orbyfy EngineeringQ2-Q3 2026
4Deploy real-time pipeline and historical backfill (Phase 2)Orbyfy EngineeringQ3 2026
5Train predictive models on site data (Phase 3)Orbyfy AI TeamQ3-Q4 2026
6Launch dispatch optimization with live LMP (Phase 4)Orbyfy EngineeringQ4 2026
7Full pilot review and commercial go-to-market decisionB&V / OrbyfyQ4 2026
The opportunity: $135M 10-year base case revenue (see B&V Business Case) from a $350K pilot investment. Earthflow3D is the fastest path to an AI-powered O&M platform for B&V’s 100+ GW installed base.

Financial Summary

$350K
Pilot Investment
6mo
Demo to Pilot
$135M
10-Year Revenue Opportunity